Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.427155 0.505647 0.593161 0.697772 0.819220 0.955566 1.120029
2024-12-29 0.316073 0.418889 0.545622 0.712493 0.925512 1.187328 1.532385
2025-01-05 0.253116 0.365334 0.514452 0.725347 1.013856 1.392326 1.923552
2025-01-12 0.205039 0.318153 0.478284 0.718659 1.066811 1.548469 2.259876
2025-01-19 0.171220 0.283250 0.450923 0.716042 1.119443 1.703546 2.604475
2025-01-26 0.152333 0.266676 0.446391 0.743718 1.215841 1.926725 3.064513
2025-02-02 0.147481 0.271131 0.473828 0.822418 1.396357 2.289550 3.764199
2025-02-09 0.134002 0.258604 0.471527 0.851887 1.500651 2.543134 4.316604
2025-02-16 0.116115 0.235252 0.447448 0.841061 1.536208 2.688813 4.707765
2025-02-23 0.098498 0.209416 0.415218 0.811339 1.535067 2.772127 5.001017
2025-03-02 0.082841 0.184711 0.381470 0.774106 1.515500 2.820549 5.236620
2025-03-09 0.077892 0.180738 0.386150 0.808513 1.628032 3.105851 5.903210
2025-03-16 0.066436 0.161668 0.359594 0.781229 1.625925 3.192808 6.236565
2025-03-23 0.060740 0.154255 0.355652 0.798396 1.710830 3.445992 6.894053
2025-03-30 0.055479 0.146905 0.350747 0.812747 1.791205 3.696922 7.567122
2025-04-06 0.049186 0.135975 0.336487 0.805322 1.826192 3.863199 8.091749
2025-04-13 0.044027 0.126900 0.325046 0.802416 1.869784 4.049147 8.668249
2025-04-20 0.041604 0.124417 0.328483 0.833160 1.987955 4.393417 9.584324
2025-04-27 0.042648 0.131349 0.355233 0.920537 2.237878 5.025446 11.126570
2025-05-04 0.040418 0.128905 0.358683 0.953238 2.368759 5.419784 12.208730
2025-05-11 0.036135 0.119867 0.344331 0.941226 2.396596 5.598237 12.853570
2025-05-18 0.031411 0.108614 0.322626 0.908241 2.372043 5.661285 13.257413
2025-05-25 0.026946 0.097234 0.298866 0.866907 2.322993 5.665734 13.533732